Mercati agricoli in Colombia, Panama e S. Corea

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Agricultural interests in recent weeks have pressured Congress to move ahead with free trade agreements (FTA) with Colombia, Panama and South Korea that have been stalled for over three years. These markets vary in size, but they are all long-term markets where open access will be important in securing market share. These countries have offered to reduce import tariffs, but the U.S. has not agreed.

South Korea is clearly the biggest current market of the three for U.S. agriculture with exports of $4.38 miliardi in 2009 and imports of only $346 milione, mostly seafood and consumer-oriented products. Grani grossi, principalmente mais, accounted for 25 percento degli Stati Uniti. exports at $1.11 miliardo, followed by soybeans and products at $448 milioni e carne rossa a $437 milione. U.S.. red meat exports grew from $157 milioni 2005 as restrictions on beef imports from the U.S. have been eased. The other exports are spread out among virtually every product exported by U.S. agricoltura. South Korea has a population of 48.5 milione, the world’s 25th largest, and a per capita GDP on a purchasing power parity basis (PPP) di $28,000 per anno, 49th highest in the world.

U.S.. agricultural exports to Colombia in 2009 were less than 25 percent of the exports to South Korean at $922 milione. Gli Stati Uniti. has an agricultural trade deficit with Colombia because of coffee, nursery products (mainly cut flowers) and bananas and plantain imports of $1.53 billion out of total imports of $1.82 miliardo. Colombia is now a bulk commodity market with coarse grains at $215 milione, Grano $141 milione, soybeans and products $141 milione, cotone $66 million and other feeds $52 million accounting for two-thirds of U.S. esportazioni. In times of ample world supplies open access to this market is critical because other suppliers in North and South America are readily available. Colombia’s population is almost as large as South Korea at 43.7 million with a per capita GDP of $9,200 per anno.

The Panamanian market for U.S. agricultural products was about 40 percent of the Colombian market in 2009 a $379 milione, with imports from Panama of $118 milione, mostly seafood and consumer-oriented products. Like Colombia, most exports to Panama are bulk commodities with coarse grains at $69 milione, soybean oil and meal $54 milione, Grano $30 million and rice $17 milione. Snack foods are the largest consumer-oriented category at $26 milione. Panama’s population is only 3.4 milione, the 134st largest country, and per capita GDP is $11,900 per anno.

The South Korean agricultural market is a textbook case of market development where the market began as a bulk commodity market to supplement domestic production. Over time as per capita GDP grew, the bulk market grew and demand increased for intermediate and consumer oriented products. Colombia and Panama are working through the bulk commodity phase of development with the shift beginning toward intermediate and consumer oriented products. Full access to the intermediate and consumer-oriented product markets cannot be achieved without the three countries shaking off their protectionist policies with FTAs.

Under the U.S.-Korea FTA, tariffs on corn, Grano, soybeans for crushing and hides and skins would be zero, simply recognizing the reality that Korean consumers cannot prosper without these products. Rice remains a politically sensitive import and tariffs would not be change from WTO mandated levels. Consumer-oriented products accounted for 29 percento degli Stati Uniti. exports to Korea in 2009 and are expected to grow rapidly under the FTA. Tariffs for out-of-season oranges would be reduced to 30 percent and eliminated over six years and the 54 percent tariff on frozen orange juice dropped immediately. Il 30 percent tariff for lemons and grapefruit would be eliminated over two years and five years. Other fruits and vegetables would have a mixture of immediate elimination of tariffs and phase outs of up to 18 anni. Frozen and fresh pork product tariffs would be reduced to zero by 2014. Il 40 percent tariff on beef muscle meat would be reduced to zero over 15 anni. Poultry meat, eggs and dairy would have similar reductions in tariffs with tariff rate quotas (TRQs).

Colombia’s economy is not as developed and more transition time is needed for many products. Tariffs would be eliminated on wheat, nonfeed barley, semi di soia, farina di soia, high quality beef, most fruit and vegetable products, arachidi, whey, cotton and the majority of processed products. Duty-free TRQs would be created for standard beef, chicken leg quarters, latticini, Mais, saggina, animal feeds, riso, and soybean oil. Over-quota tariffs for standard beef would be eliminated over 15 anni, chicken leg quarters over 18 anni, dairy products over 15 anni, pork over 5 e 10 anni, Mais, sorghum and animal feeds over 12 anni, soybean oil over 5 e 10 years and rice over 19 anni.

Panama is similar to Colombia with tariffs on 63 percento degli Stati Uniti. agricultural trade eliminated immediately with most other tariffs declining over 15 anni. Grano, orzo, semi di soia, soybean meal and crude soybean oil would be duty free immediately. High quality beef tariffs would be immediately reduced to zero, while standard quality beef tariffs would take 15 anni. For products with longer tariff phase outs, duty-free market access would be provided through TRQs. Corn and rice would have TRQs phased out over 15 e 20 anni. Pork over quota tariffs would be phased out over 15 anni. Tariffs on some poultry products would be eliminated immediately and othersover quota tariffs phased out over 18 anni. Dairy products have similar provisions. For fruits and vegetables, 80 percent of tariffs would be immediately eliminated and others reduced over 5 per 12 anni.

These countries have made a real paradigm shift in recognizing markets must be more open to provide benefits to consumers. They all have individual political needs to protect some products and provide long transitions for others. The Obama Administration and the U.S. Congress appear to have not caught on to that paradigm shift. These three countries have not remained static while the U.S. waits. If they cannot access food from the U.S., it will be done with other countries. South Korea signed a FTA with the EU and is working on one with Canada. Panama and Colombia have signed separate agreements with Canada.

ross Korves
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ross Korves

Ross Korves servita verità in merito a Trade & Tecnologia, prima di diventare globale Farmer Network, a partire dal 2004 – 2015 come l'analista di politica economica e commerciale.

La ricerca e l'analisi di questioni economiche importanti per i produttori agricoli, Ross fornito una comprensione intima per quanto riguarda l'interfaccia di analisi di politica economica e il processo politico.

Sig. Korves servita la Farm Bureau Federation americana come un economista 1980-2004. Ha prestato servizio come Chief Economist dal mese di aprile 2001 a settembre 2003 e ha tenuto il titolo di Senior Economist da settembre 2003 ad agosto 2004.

Nato e cresciuto in un Southern Illinois Hog Farm ed educato alla Southern Illinois University, Ross conseguito un Master in Economia Agro-alimentare. I suoi studi e le ricerche estese a livello internazionale attraverso il suo lavoro in Germania come 1984 McCloy agricola Fellow e viaggi studio in Giappone nel 1982, Zambia e Kenya 1985 e la Germania in 1987.

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